The Cost of Fuel Has Become the Midterms' Most Reliable Indicator
Strong employment and rising real wages point one way; crude near $92 and a Fed leaning toward a hike point another. Voters tend to notice the second.
Politics
Germany's Firewall Is Holding, and the Cost Is Rising
The AfD led Sunday's Saxony-Anhalt election. Excluding it requires coalitions that grow broader, less coherent and less able to govern well.
The War's Price at the Pump Is Now a Domestic Political Problem
Six months of conflict has spiked oil prices and roiled the global economy, creating difficulties for the Republican Party that no domestic policy lever can fix.
Michigan Becomes the Senate Race Democrats Cannot Lose
With four net gains needed and every current seat to defend, one contest has become the point at which a difficult path turns implausible.
Four Elections in Ten Weeks Will Reset a Large Share of World Politics
Russia votes for its Duma before 20 September, Israel and Brazil go to the polls in October and the United States holds midterms on 3 November.
Russia Votes for a Duma Whose Result Is Already Known
United Russia is expected to retain its majority in elections to be held before 20 September. What the vote will show is how the system manages participation.
Three House Seats and Four in the Senate: the Midterm Arithmetic
Democrats need a net gain of three House seats and four Senate seats on 3 November. The two targets are nothing like equally difficult.
The Pharmaceutical Squeeze: Lower Prices and Higher Tariffs at Once
Twenty-six manufacturers have signed most-favored-nation pricing deals. On 29 September, tariffs on patented medicines reach every remaining company.
Israel Heads to an October Election After Six Months of War
The vote will test whether Benjamin Netanyahu's right-wing coalition holds, with an electorate assessing a conflict that has reshaped the region.
Trump Administration Asks the Supreme Court to Clear a Mail-In Ballot Rule
A federal judge blocked parts of a new Postal Service rule governing mail-in ballots. The administration wants it in effect before November.
A Contested Election Season Is Being Fought Over Administration, Not Ideas
A Supreme Court application over mail-in ballots, redistricting disputes and primary endorsements are shaping November well before the campaign proper.
Brazil's Election Is Being Decided in Court Before It Reaches Voters
A Supreme Court justice suspended a presidential campaign and reversed himself a day later, while Lula's campaign seeks to bar a rival senator from standing.