Fed's Kevin Warsh Speech May Hint at Interest Rate Decisions
Investors eagerly anticipate insights from Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's upcoming speech, which may influence interest rate hikes amidst rising inflation.
Investors eagerly anticipate insights from Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's upcoming speech, which may influence interest rate hikes amidst rising inflation.
Stockpiles rose 40 billion cubic feet in a week, beating forecasts and leaving US inventories nearly 5% above normal, the mirror image of Europe's depleted storage.
Brent closed at $101.21 on Wednesday and neared $105 on Thursday as WTI crossed $100, yet five-year contracts near $70 show the market expects the squeeze to pass.
AAA's national diesel average hit a record on 10 September and petrol jumped 13 cents in a week, reversing the usual post-summer slide as distillate stocks run low.
The group now sees demand growth of just 380,000 barrels a day this year but is more upbeat on 2027, days after its core members froze October output.
The agency sees production averaging 13.8 million barrels a day in 2026 and 14.3 million in 2027, powered by the Permian and new deepwater Gulf of Mexico projects.
Finalised before Brent's return to $100, the agency's September outlook assumes Gulf exports recover gradually but stay below pre-conflict levels until mid-2027.
The EIA expects generation to grow 2.2% this year and 1.7% in 2027, led by Texas and neighbouring states, with natural gas still supplying two-fifths of US power.
Consumer inflation edged up to 0.8% in August, but the gains come from war-driven commodity costs and export demand rather than stronger household spending.
The upgrade strengthens the ECB's case for another rate rise this week, but stalling French output and a drawdown in stockpiles suggest the strength may not last.
Kyiv's long-range campaign against refining and export infrastructure is a military strategy with a measurable effect on global fuel prices.
Crude near $92, diesel at four-year highs and central banks turning hawkish: the Middle East conflict has become the dominant variable in the world economy.