Ukraine's Strikes on Russian Oil Have Become an Energy Market Story
Kyiv's long-range campaign against refining and export infrastructure is a military strategy with a measurable effect on global fuel prices.
Kyiv's long-range campaign against refining and export infrastructure is a military strategy with a measurable effect on global fuel prices.
Crude near $92, diesel at four-year highs and central banks turning hawkish: the Middle East conflict has become the dominant variable in the world economy.
Oil rose to $92.06 a barrel on 6 September, up nearly 9% on the week and roughly 48% year on year, as US-Iran strikes resumed after a month's pause.
A projected 2.5% rebound in 2026 follows a contraction — and lands in a world where an effective 7.2% US tariff rate has become the planning assumption.
The oil major is expanding operations after Washington's agreement with Caracas, testing whether reserves that size can be brought back to production.
Futures now imply roughly a two-in-three chance the Federal Reserve raises rates this month, a reversal of the easing cycle investors spent the year expecting.
August payrolls came in at 162,000 against expectations of 53,000, sending the Dow lower and pushing futures markets toward pricing a Fed hike.
Employers keep adding jobs and wages are outpacing prices. In the current policy regime, that is an argument for tighter money rather than a cause for celebration.
Ottawa is walking back retaliatory duties on seafood while negotiations with Washington collapse — a distinction between managing escalation and reaching agreement.
Refining capacity, not crude supply, is the binding constraint — and it is the one that reaches freight costs, food prices and factory output.
Nigeria's securities regulator has approved an IPO that would rank among the largest in the country's market history, as GDP growth reached 4.43%.
A 188,000 barrel-a-day September increase finished the phased unwinding of voluntary cuts. Further rises look unlikely this year, and the reason is the Strait of Hormuz.